People accurately predict the transition probabilities between actions

Do People Accurately Anticipate Sanctions?

We provide lab data from four different games that allow us to study whether people have accurate expectations regarding monetary sanctions (punishment/reward) and non-monetary sanctions (disapproval/approval). Although the strength of the sanction is always predicted with some error (particularly in the case of monetary sanctions), we observe that (i) most subjects anticipate correctly the sig...

Transition Probabilities for Continual

Monte Carlo transition probabilities

Transition probabilities governing the interaction of energy packets and matter are derived that allow Monte Carlo NLTE transfer codes to be constructed without simplifying the treatment of line formation. These probabilities are such that the Monte Carlo calculation asymptotically recovers the local emissivity of a gas in statistical and radiative equilibrium. Numerical experiments with one-po...

Utilizing Markov Transition Model to Accurately Predict Wideband Propagation Channel Parameters

The data rates required to support multimedia services over wireless communication systems is rapidly increasing. Mobile radio propagation channel characteristics play a very important role in assessing the performance of a wireless wideband communication system. The mean excess delay and RMS delay spread are the two main parameters that dominate wideband propagation characteristics. The wideba...

Mental models accurately predict emotion transitions.

Successful social interactions depend on people's ability to predict others' future actions and emotions. People possess many mechanisms for perceiving others' current emotional states, but how might they use this information to predict others' future states? We hypothesized that people might capitalize on an overlooked aspect of affective experience: current emotions predict future emotions. B...